fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

You can't imitate a worldview. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 10 Wednesday AM Reads. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. Thanks! In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. 266, the . Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". They determine whether we live in a free or repres New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. It's easy. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. Galen speaks with him. Nate Silver's. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The data behind that evolution is striking. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Feb. 25, 2021. info. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. ( Businessweek) You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. robert kraft granddaughter. 04:58 PM. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. It's a busy week! FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. This is the second episode. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. The Supreme Court Not So Much. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. 01:00 PM. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term.